Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 47.291771 54.217969 61.416286 69.424508 78.053930 87.043769 97.087929
2024-10-27 35.278939 44.760190 55.199903 67.415775 81.190878 96.126304 113.428103
2024-11-03 30.755443 41.931496 54.735923 70.219769 88.179541 108.121327 131.708034
2024-11-10 26.905094 39.196093 53.789538 71.944525 93.503666 117.908295 147.252121
2024-11-17 22.571033 35.276556 50.929409 70.959860 95.291979 123.339991 157.579490
2024-11-24 19.009944 31.884957 48.330461 69.942737 96.747235 128.150576 166.999120
2024-12-01 16.511604 29.591766 46.861302 70.096234 99.432479 134.274966 177.855660
2024-12-08 14.409049 27.592703 45.570262 70.300797 102.043879 140.214559 188.430302
2024-12-15 12.763646 26.056417 44.743296 70.976525 105.147817 146.688197 199.610869
2024-12-22 10.844734 23.876853 42.851408 70.098303 106.164796 150.524698 207.554376
2024-12-29 9.780376 22.909105 42.567946 71.297296 109.793079 157.557148 219.377144
2025-01-05 8.907233 22.149139 42.509534 72.748564 113.717072 164.948502 231.652100
2025-01-12 7.542425 20.399440 40.898193 72.003677 114.757744 168.763717 239.616027
2025-01-19 6.080971 18.252436 38.520156 70.047557 114.092197 170.355260 244.787694
2025-01-26 5.795112 18.286237 39.512510 72.904472 119.893198 180.213844 260.305630
2025-02-02 5.321712 17.883231 39.769888 74.671928 124.212338 188.181262 273.482583
2025-02-09 4.403604 16.413619 38.192698 73.663799 124.681247 191.141083 280.336085
2025-02-16 3.603418 15.036003 36.654355 72.622649 125.036246 193.906173 286.913745
2025-02-23 3.079001 14.185610 35.943344 72.779780 127.024494 198.789406 296.182986
2025-03-02 2.624256 13.407240 35.295704 72.989192 129.058100 203.720196 305.515932
2025-03-09 2.279361 12.838596 34.977740 73.680893 131.759391 209.532816 315.992836
2025-03-16 1.810784 11.788276 33.691171 72.781899 132.142860 212.233427 322.446386
2025-03-23 1.602898 11.465783 33.745509 74.009225 135.585206 219.033467 334.223425